Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Poehling 47.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 89.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 75.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 54.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Fantilli
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Fantilli
Poehling
Last 9: Fantilli 6-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
49.8% (626)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
58.3% (12)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
38.2% (207)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Poehling
Home
50.8% (472)
47.3% (404)
Away
49.2% (480)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Fantilli
Poehling
P1
47.8%
53.5%
P2
52.7%
39.4%
P3
50.0%
49.1%
OT
30.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |