Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Poehling 50.8% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 66.6%
Defensive zone
Poehling 86.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 68.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Fantilli
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Fantilli
Poehling
Last 10: Fantilli 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Fantilli
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
3
Fantilli
Poehling
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
52.6% (622)
-11.9%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
58.3% (12)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
39.8% (103)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Poehling
Home
44.1% (488)
53.2% (393)
Away
38.6% (531)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Fantilli
Poehling
P1
42.0%
50.9%
P2
43.0%
56.2%
P3
39.3%
46.1%
OT
11.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |