Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Coyle 52.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 73.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Henrique
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Henrique
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Henrique
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Henrique
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
52.7% (849)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
66.7% (39)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
48.1% (131)
-5.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Coyle is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Henrique
Coyle
Home
53.1% (339)
53.3% (512)
Away
49.1% (330)
51.9% (507)
By Period
Henrique
Coyle
P1
48.5%
53.8%
P2
48.6%
47.8%
P3
54.2%
56.7%
OT
70.6%
38.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |