Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Coyle 51.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 51.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 61.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Henrique
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Henrique
Coyle
Last 7: Henrique 3-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Henrique
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
53.0% (1,046)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
57.6% (144)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
43.6% (287)
+3.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Home / Away
Henrique
Coyle
Home
56.4% (553)
54.5% (719)
Away
50.0% (530)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Henrique
Coyle
P1
51.7%
51.1%
P2
55.5%
50.0%
P3
52.5%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |