Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Coyle 48.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 51.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 56.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Henrique
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
19
(35 meetings)
16
19
Henrique
Coyle
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
5
Henrique
Coyle
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
6
Henrique
Coyle
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
8
Henrique
Coyle
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
49.4% (7,856)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
50.0% (792)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
43.6% (1,090)
+2.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Home / Away
Henrique
Coyle
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.8% (4,835)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
47.9% (4,903)
By Period
Henrique
Coyle
P1
50.6%
49.4%
P2
51.4%
48.3%
P3
50.2%
48.8%
OT
40.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |