Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Coyle 48.8% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 58.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 62.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Henrique
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Henrique
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Henrique
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
49.5% (576)
+8.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
54.2% (48)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
43.4% (145)
+2.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Henrique
Coyle
Home
56.4% (518)
47.4% (409)
Away
54.9% (492)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Henrique
Coyle
P1
56.0%
50.8%
P2
55.2%
46.0%
P3
56.2%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |