Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Cozens 48.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 57.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 55.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Henrique
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Henrique
Cozens
Last 5: Henrique 3-2 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Henrique
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Cozens
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
49.4% (859)
+2.5%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
49.5% (186)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
39.5% (129)
+3.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Henrique
Cozens
Home
53.1% (339)
49.0% (600)
Away
49.1% (330)
47.6% (574)
By Period
Henrique
Cozens
P1
48.5%
46.5%
P2
48.6%
52.9%
P3
54.2%
45.2%
OT
70.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |