Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Cozens 45.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 84.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 94.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 95.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Henrique
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
5
(20 meetings)
15
5
Henrique
Cozens
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
2
Henrique
Cozens
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
8
0
Henrique
Cozens
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
3
Henrique
Cozens
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
46.7% (786)
+8.7%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
43.9% (171)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
42.3% (189)
+5.2%
On even strength, Henrique has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Henrique
Cozens
Home
56.4% (553)
46.2% (567)
Away
50.0% (530)
44.9% (579)
By Period
Henrique
Cozens
P1
51.7%
46.5%
P2
55.5%
46.5%
P3
52.5%
44.2%
OT
66.7%
22.2%
Final 5 min
55.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |