Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Cozens 52.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 74.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 78.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Henrique
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Cozens
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Henrique
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
52.6% (606)
+3.5%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
58.5% (94)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
33.3% (6)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Henrique
Cozens
Home
53.5% (215)
54.1% (375)
Away
55.2% (306)
52.3% (331)
By Period
Henrique
Cozens
P1
57.7%
55.8%
P2
53.8%
50.6%
P3
51.6%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |