Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Cozens 50.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 76.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 64.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 58.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Henrique
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
51.4% (891)
+6.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.5% (184)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
42.4% (85)
+3.1%
On power play, Henrique has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Henrique
Cozens
Home
56.4% (518)
49.5% (638)
Away
54.9% (492)
51.9% (522)
By Period
Henrique
Cozens
P1
56.0%
51.9%
P2
55.2%
46.4%
P3
56.2%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |