Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Carter 50.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 83.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 52.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Henrique
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Carter
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Henrique
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
51.0% (565)
-3.0%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
50.0% (188)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
50.0% (12)
+1.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Henrique is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Henrique shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Home / Away
Henrique
Carter
Home
51.2% (461)
52.3% (421)
Away
46.9% (565)
49.0% (353)
By Period
Henrique
Carter
P1
49.5%
55.4%
P2
48.5%
49.1%
P3
49.1%
47.6%
OT
22.2%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |