Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Carter 56.4% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 69.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 67.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Henrique
Carter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
57.9% (885)
-3.5%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
61.7% (133)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
45.4% (119)
+0.8%
On even strength, Carter has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Henrique
Carter
Home
55.3% (237)
58.2% (543)
Away
55.8% (260)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Henrique
Carter
P1
53.5%
57.5%
P2
64.8%
57.1%
P3
47.3%
55.8%
OT
58.3%
68.2%
Final 5 min
54.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%