Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 29 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 36-32 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 58.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 55.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Henrique
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
32
(68 meetings)
36
32
Henrique
Carter
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
16
13
Henrique
Carter
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
9
11
Henrique
Carter
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
11
8
Henrique
Carter
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
53.3% (8,728)
-2.5%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
57.3% (1,554)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
46.3% (1,087)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Henrique
Carter
Home
52.5% (6,418)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Henrique
Carter
P1
50.6%
53.6%
P2
51.4%
52.8%
P3
50.2%
53.1%
OT
40.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 17:21 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |