Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Carter 58.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 86.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 68.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Henrique
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Henrique
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Henrique
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
59.7% (727)
-7.8%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
68.1% (72)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
53.2% (139)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Henrique
Carter
Home
53.1% (339)
58.7% (455)
Away
49.1% (330)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Henrique
Carter
P1
48.5%
61.3%
P2
48.6%
57.1%
P3
54.2%
59.8%
OT
70.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |