Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Carter 60.1% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 71.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 64.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Henrique
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Henrique
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
65.6% (262)
-10.2%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
68.3% (63)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
50.5% (99)
-3.0%
On power play, Carter has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Henrique
Carter
Home
56.4% (553)
64.3% (207)
Away
50.0% (530)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Henrique
Carter
P1
51.7%
65.3%
P2
55.5%
60.1%
P3
52.5%
63.8%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |