Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.2%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.7% vs Tavares 52.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 74.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Henrique
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Henrique
Tavares
Last 8: Henrique 2-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Henrique
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Henrique
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (358)
52.4% (1,121)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
51.3% (304)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (94)
58.8% (17)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Henrique is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Henrique shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tavares
Home
53.9% (245)
56.5% (731)
Away
50.4% (274)
47.8% (711)
By Period
Henrique
Tavares
P1
52.8%
56.1%
P2
56.5%
50.3%
P3
46.1%
50.5%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2014 | 1 | 04:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |