Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Tavares 57.2% (-3.3%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 80.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Henrique
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
58.0% (914)
-1.9%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
57.0% (235)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
57.9% (19)
-7.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tavares
Home
53.5% (215)
57.8% (614)
Away
55.2% (306)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Henrique
Tavares
P1
57.7%
58.0%
P2
53.8%
56.9%
P3
51.6%
58.4%
OT
100.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%