Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Tavares 59.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 70.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 57.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Henrique
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
60.9% (1,043)
-6.5%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
60.4% (278)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
47.6% (21)
-1.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tavares
Home
55.3% (237)
63.5% (684)
Away
55.8% (260)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Henrique
Tavares
P1
53.5%
60.3%
P2
64.8%
60.4%
P3
47.3%
60.1%
OT
58.3%
92.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |