Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 67.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Henrique
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Henrique
Tavares
Last 7: Henrique 3-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Henrique
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
57.5% (914)
-5.6%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
60.5% (309)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
59.1% (22)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tavares
Home
53.1% (339)
61.0% (661)
Away
49.1% (330)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Henrique
Tavares
P1
48.5%
58.6%
P2
48.6%
57.8%
P3
54.2%
58.4%
OT
70.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |