Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Duchene 51.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 80.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Henrique
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Henrique
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
51.2% (324)
+4.9%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
60.4% (53)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
16.7% (6)
+34.1%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Henrique
Duchene
Home
53.5% (215)
51.6% (182)
Away
55.2% (306)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Henrique
Duchene
P1
57.7%
49.6%
P2
53.8%
56.2%
P3
51.6%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |