Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Duchene 52.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 79.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Henrique
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Henrique
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Henrique
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
53.9% (193)
-2.0%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
49.2% (65)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
100.0% (1)
-57.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Henrique
Duchene
Home
53.1% (339)
54.9% (113)
Away
49.1% (330)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Henrique
Duchene
P1
48.5%
54.9%
P2
48.6%
52.7%
P3
54.2%
51.9%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |