Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Duchene 61.5% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 77.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 82.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 81.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Henrique
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Henrique
Duchene
Last 10: Henrique 1-9 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
6
Henrique
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Henrique
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
62.2% (802)
-14.5%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
67.3% (153)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
59.4% (143)
-14.1%
On even strength, Duchene has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Henrique is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Henrique shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Henrique
Duchene
Home
49.9% (567)
66.5% (555)
Away
46.7% (647)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Henrique
Duchene
P1
49.7%
63.2%
P2
45.3%
59.6%
P3
50.6%
65.0%
OT
31.8%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |