Adam Henrique vs Nathan MacKinnon
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 74.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 83.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 85.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Henrique
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
MacKinnon
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
42.8% (1,039)
+10.1%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
50.8% (118)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
46.2% (26)
+9.2%
On even strength, Henrique has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Henrique is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. MacKinnon is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Henrique
MacKinnon
Home
55.3% (571)
48.0% (586)
Away
49.8% (512)
39.5% (597)
By Period
Henrique
MacKinnon
P1
53.3%
46.1%
P2
52.4%
41.5%
P3
52.4%
43.8%
OT
53.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |