Adam Henrique vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 75.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 93.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 94.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Henrique
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
6
(22 meetings)
16
6
Henrique
MacKinnon
Last 10: Henrique 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
2
Henrique
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
1
Henrique
MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
3
Henrique
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
45.5% (1,190)
+9.9%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
56.4% (94)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
40.0% (30)
+7.5%
On even strength, Henrique has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Henrique
MacKinnon
Home
56.4% (553)
47.8% (670)
Away
50.0% (530)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Henrique
MacKinnon
P1
51.7%
45.3%
P2
55.5%
48.5%
P3
52.5%
45.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2023 | OT | 04:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:26 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |