Adam Henrique vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 65.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 67.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Henrique
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
44.7% (1,053)
+7.2%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
36.8% (95)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
65.0% (20)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Henrique
MacKinnon
Home
53.1% (339)
49.4% (553)
Away
49.1% (330)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Henrique
MacKinnon
P1
48.5%
45.3%
P2
48.6%
42.7%
P3
54.2%
45.1%
OT
70.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |