Adam Henrique vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 48 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 68-60 in 128 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 54.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 69.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Henrique
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
60
(128 meetings)
68
60
Henrique
MacKinnon
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
12
28
Henrique
MacKinnon
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
33
15
Henrique
MacKinnon
48 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
23
17
Henrique
MacKinnon
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
46.1% (11,218)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
53.3% (1,412)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
42.8% (502)
+3.4%
On even strength, Henrique has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Henrique
MacKinnon
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Henrique
MacKinnon
P1
50.6%
47.4%
P2
51.4%
46.6%
P3
50.2%
46.1%
OT
40.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |