Adam Henrique vs Nathan MacKinnon
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 66.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 65.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 68.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Henrique
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Henrique
MacKinnon
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Henrique
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Henrique
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
6
7
Henrique
MacKinnon
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
48.5% (439)
+6.1%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
54.8% (42)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
25.0% (12)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Henrique is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Henrique shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Henrique
MacKinnon
Home
58.1% (310)
52.5% (221)
Away
51.9% (237)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Henrique
MacKinnon
P1
56.1%
50.5%
P2
53.6%
45.5%
P3
55.7%
48.5%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:37 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:26 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |