Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Dowd 53.3% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 85.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Henrique
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
55.4% (771)
-1.0%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
57.1% (7)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
45.5% (165)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Henrique
Dowd
Home
55.3% (237)
58.2% (462)
Away
55.8% (260)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Henrique
Dowd
P1
53.5%
55.6%
P2
64.8%
50.5%
P3
47.3%
53.9%
OT
58.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%