Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 85.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Henrique
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
55.2% (625)
-3.3%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
57.1% (7)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
38.2% (220)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Henrique
Dowd
Home
53.1% (339)
53.7% (445)
Away
49.1% (330)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Henrique
Dowd
P1
48.5%
48.8%
P2
48.6%
49.3%
P3
54.2%
54.0%
OT
70.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%