Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Dowd 49.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 72.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Henrique
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Henrique
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
52.2% (835)
+5.3%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
60.0% (10)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
44.0% (350)
+1.5%
On power play, Henrique has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Henrique
Dowd
Home
56.4% (518)
51.5% (619)
Away
54.9% (492)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Henrique
Dowd
P1
56.0%
51.7%
P2
55.2%
51.6%
P3
56.2%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |