Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Dowd 48.3% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 95.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 82.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Henrique
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Henrique
Dowd
Last 10: Henrique 8-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
0
Henrique
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Henrique
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
49.2% (778)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
58.3% (12)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
44.0% (234)
+3.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Henrique
Dowd
Home
56.4% (553)
46.3% (492)
Away
50.0% (530)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Henrique
Dowd
P1
51.7%
49.1%
P2
55.5%
48.2%
P3
52.5%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |