Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 54.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 62.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Henrique
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Henrique
Bjugstad
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
5
Henrique
Bjugstad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
50.7% (906)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
48.1% (108)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
44.4% (239)
+3.1%
On even strength, Henrique has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bjugstad
Home
56.4% (553)
49.8% (643)
Away
50.0% (530)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Henrique
Bjugstad
P1
51.7%
49.4%
P2
55.5%
50.5%
P3
52.5%
47.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |