Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 32-25 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 65.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 64.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Henrique
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
25
(57 meetings)
32
25
Henrique
Bjugstad
Last 10: Henrique 8-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
12
9
Henrique
Bjugstad
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
9
11
Henrique
Bjugstad
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
11
5
Henrique
Bjugstad
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
48.6% (6,634)
+2.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
55.2% (829)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
44.3% (614)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bjugstad
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Henrique
Bjugstad
P1
50.6%
49.0%
P2
51.4%
49.1%
P3
50.2%
48.4%
OT
40.6%
61.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |