Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 57.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 72.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 63.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Henrique
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
48.9% (280)
+7.2%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
50.0% (6)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
47.2% (36)
+3.6%
On even strength, Henrique has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bjugstad
Home
53.5% (215)
48.4% (190)
Away
55.2% (306)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Henrique
Bjugstad
P1
57.7%
41.7%
P2
53.8%
56.6%
P3
51.6%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |