Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Bjugstad 49.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 59.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 60.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Henrique
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
50.9% (212)
+4.5%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
40.0% (5)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (96)
44.1% (34)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Henrique shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bjugstad
Home
53.2% (173)
52.3% (151)
Away
55.9% (256)
46.0% (100)
By Period
Henrique
Bjugstad
P1
58.9%
44.9%
P2
54.9%
56.8%
P3
50.0%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |