Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 60.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 86.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 85.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Henrique
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Bjugstad
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
46.7% (398)
+10.8%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
51.6% (31)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
62.5% (8)
-17.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bjugstad
Home
56.4% (518)
47.3% (220)
Away
54.9% (492)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Henrique
Bjugstad
P1
56.0%
46.1%
P2
55.2%
46.3%
P3
56.2%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |