Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Zacha 51.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Henrique
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Zacha
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Henrique
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
53.3% (646)
+2.8%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
53.0% (100)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
38.9% (72)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zacha
Home
53.5% (215)
51.7% (410)
Away
55.2% (306)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Henrique
Zacha
P1
57.7%
57.7%
P2
53.8%
48.9%
P3
51.6%
50.2%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |