Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Zacha 52.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 89.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 70.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Henrique
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Henrique
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
54.1% (534)
+3.4%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
56.0% (109)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
44.8% (96)
+0.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zacha
Home
56.4% (518)
53.4% (406)
Away
54.9% (492)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Henrique
Zacha
P1
56.0%
56.8%
P2
55.2%
53.6%
P3
56.2%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |