Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Zacha 49.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 51.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 60.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 56.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Henrique
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Henrique
Zacha
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
9
Henrique
Zacha
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
9
2
Henrique
Zacha
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
5
Henrique
Zacha
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
48.9% (5,102)
+1.9%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
55.6% (804)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
42.2% (555)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zacha
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Henrique
Zacha
P1
50.6%
49.9%
P2
51.4%
49.2%
P3
50.2%
48.1%
OT
40.6%
53.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |