Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Zacha 50.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 65.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 66.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Henrique
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Henrique
Zacha
Last 7: Henrique 2-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Henrique
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Henrique
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Henrique
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
48.0% (296)
+6.4%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
61.0% (59)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
50.0% (22)
-3.8%
On even strength, Henrique has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zacha
Home
55.3% (237)
48.9% (223)
Away
55.8% (260)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Henrique
Zacha
P1
53.5%
47.9%
P2
64.8%
48.3%
P3
47.3%
54.3%
OT
58.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |