Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Zacha 54.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 68.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 54.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Henrique
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Zacha
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Henrique
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
53.9% (787)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
63.2% (193)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
44.3% (88)
+3.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zacha
Home
56.4% (553)
56.7% (538)
Away
50.0% (530)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Henrique
Zacha
P1
51.7%
52.6%
P2
55.5%
54.8%
P3
52.5%
56.8%
OT
66.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
55.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |