Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 84.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 67.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Henrique
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Henrique
Lafferty
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
8
2
Henrique
Lafferty
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
3
5
Henrique
Lafferty
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
48.0% (1,413)
+2.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
45.7% (46)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
43.5% (184)
+2.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,629).
Henrique shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lafferty
Home
52.5% (6,418)
47.3% (833)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Henrique
Lafferty
P1
50.6%
49.4%
P2
51.4%
43.1%
P3
50.2%
49.8%
OT
40.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |