Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.1%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 70.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 65.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Henrique
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Lafferty
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Henrique
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
52.2% (366)
-0.3%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
60.0% (15)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
46.2% (104)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lafferty
Home
53.1% (339)
53.1% (258)
Away
49.1% (330)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Henrique
Lafferty
P1
48.5%
52.5%
P2
48.6%
49.7%
P3
54.2%
51.3%
OT
70.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |