Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 51.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.7%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Henrique
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Henrique
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
42.6% (324)
+12.8%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
31.3% (16)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
43.8% (16)
+3.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lafferty
Home
56.4% (553)
40.9% (181)
Away
50.0% (530)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Henrique
Lafferty
P1
51.7%
42.2%
P2
55.5%
36.4%
P3
52.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
55.1%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |