Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 95.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 70.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Henrique
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Henrique
Lafferty
Last 6: Henrique 6-0 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
40.9% (232)
+13.5%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
100.0% (1)
-40.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
40.0% (30)
+6.2%
On power play, Lafferty has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Lafferty is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lafferty
Home
55.3% (237)
38.2% (123)
Away
55.8% (260)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Henrique
Lafferty
P1
53.5%
41.6%
P2
64.8%
36.7%
P3
47.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |