Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 54.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 67.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 63.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Henrique
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
50.7% (144)
+6.8%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
50.0% (2)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
50.0% (10)
-4.5%
On power play, Henrique has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lafferty
Home
56.4% (518)
53.2% (62)
Away
54.9% (492)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Henrique
Lafferty
P1
56.0%
53.3%
P2
55.2%
46.7%
P3
56.2%
52.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |