Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Lafferty 49.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 69.7%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 80.9%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 58.4%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Henrique
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Lafferty
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Henrique
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
51.5% (204)
+2.0%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
41.7% (12)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
35.0% (20)
+15.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Henrique is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Lafferty is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lafferty
Home
57.4% (467)
49.2% (124)
Away
52.7% (463)
50.0% (112)
By Period
Henrique
Lafferty
P1
55.4%
48.9%
P2
56.7%
48.1%
P3
54.0%
51.6%
OT
22.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |