Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Kuraly 49.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 67.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 55.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 56.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Henrique
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Henrique
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
50.8% (370)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (96)
44.1% (127)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Henrique shoots left. Kuraly is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kuraly
Home
53.2% (173)
52.8% (269)
Away
55.9% (256)
44.7% (228)
By Period
Henrique
Kuraly
P1
58.9%
53.2%
P2
54.9%
45.8%
P3
50.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |