Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Kuraly 53.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 54.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Henrique
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Henrique
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Henrique
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
55.3% (515)
+2.2%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
55.6% (9)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
44.8% (58)
+0.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kuraly
Home
56.4% (518)
57.3% (293)
Away
54.9% (492)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Henrique
Kuraly
P1
56.0%
53.8%
P2
55.2%
51.5%
P3
56.2%
57.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |