Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.3%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 77.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Henrique
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
15
(29 meetings)
14
15
Henrique
Kuraly
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
0
Henrique
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
12
Henrique
Kuraly
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
3
Henrique
Kuraly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
51.5% (5,141)
-0.7%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
56.0% (100)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
44.2% (1,086)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kuraly
Home
52.5% (6,418)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Henrique
Kuraly
P1
50.6%
51.1%
P2
51.4%
49.9%
P3
50.2%
50.0%
OT
40.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |