Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 59.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Henrique
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Henrique
Kuraly
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
6
Henrique
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
49.4% (445)
+6.0%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
100.0% (3)
-49.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
41.9% (117)
+5.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Henrique
Kuraly
Home
56.4% (553)
49.2% (248)
Away
50.0% (530)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Henrique
Kuraly
P1
51.7%
48.3%
P2
55.5%
44.7%
P3
52.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
55.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |